I doubt the question of whether France will say Oui or Non to the EU constitution is discussed at even the wonkiest dinner parties in the U.S., but here in Britain it's the top question on everyone's mind. (At least since the Liverpudlians settled that other dispute on the football field in Turkey the other day.)
After all, Donald Rumsfeld thinks Old Europe has less impact on the emerging geo-political landscape than an escargot, and most Americans think of Europe as little more than a source for weird foreign films and those quaint British comedies.
I'll admit, the question of the EU's ratification hardly gets my Inner Wonk past first gear, but on the other hand, it is an election. Elections for me are like Westerns: there's always a good guy to root for, a showdown at dusk between Good and Evil.
Is the EU constitution the good guy, about to get stomped by the forces of Evil collectively voting "Non?" Hardly, but I'd still like to see the thing ratified, if for no other reason than a stronger Europe means more weight on this side of the trans-Atlantic scale, a balance to America and its current strategy of total world domination.
My limited knowledge of the EU and its proposed constitution comes from The Guardian and Nosemonkey, who's compiled a handy link dump. As he points out, the constitution is hardly earthshaking in its impact: it's mainly a reframing of previous treaties, a more formal structure for what already exists.
So why are the French likely to vote Non? According to The Guardian, the French think it's too Anglo Saxon, while the British think it's too French. In other words, the social justice traditions of France vs. the free trade longings of Britain. How a document can be all things to all people, or no things to neither side, is puzzling, and frankly beyond the scope of this blog (whose title is a rhetorical question, not an intention to expound further.)
So should Americans be paying attention, and if so, which side should my friends on the left root for tomorrow? Oui, Americans should put down their spatulas and tune in to BBC this weekend, but those on the left will find themselves a mite conflicted. In France, it's both the left and the right who oppose the constitution. Hold That Thought explains why the left may be wrong on this, and he convinced me, until I read this by Dead Men Left.
See what I mean? This is one of those issues that both sides pick apart and condemn, sort of like the filibuster compromise. To Americans, it will be seen as simply an up or down vote on Europe, but there's plenty of nuance CNN won't report. I'll dodge the nuance, and simply agree with The Guardian's Timothy Garten Ash:
Link: Votez oui, malgré tout.
In truth, the best is the enemy of the good. This treaty is far from being the best, but it's as good as we'll get. If we lose it, the rest of the world, from Beijing to Washington, will think we are clowns.
Exactly. My nuance-free opinion: a Non vote will be seen in Washington as a sign the EU is faltering, Old Europe gasping its last breath, giving the Empire little resistance as it trods toward Armageddon. So at the risk of encouraging bourgeois capitalism, I'm rooting for the guy named Oui tomorrow.